MP scoring, I'm defending,
...can you mathematically determine (even roughly) whether beating it, as opposed to taking what's ours, will give us more MP's?
Or is it just a matter of feeling?
Or is feeling a sort of experts' intrinsic math engine working?
By awn;
"Of course it's situational, but one thing to do is try to evaluate how normal the contract is. If the contract is unusual you generally need to beat it -- if your opponents are the only pair in game then if they make you'll get a zero regardless of whether you hold down the overtrick."
"If your opponents are the only pair to stop just short of game, then you'll always beat the pairs defending game making, so you may as well go all-out for the set and try to tie some of the pairs who set the game."
"If the contract seems very normal it's often a good result to hold them to just making (although again it always depends on the odds of setting). "
By brianshark:
The source & ...more details>>
To get right to the point, he said that, on average, in a typical MP session (~24 bds => ~4% of the session's MPs per board):
- Each overtrick is worth 1% of the MPs for the session
- Each set is worth 2%